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	<title>Buysiders.com &#187; Home</title>
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	<description>Investidor Profissional (IP)&#039;s blog: value investing across disciplines and around the globe</description>
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		<title>Kurosawa and the crisis</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/08/kurosawa-and-the-crisis/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/08/kurosawa-and-the-crisis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 07:00:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Food for thought]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2774</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[MIT economist Andrew Lo had published a paper where he reviews twenty one (yes, 21) books about the global financial crisis. In search of common explanations and themes, he found confusion instead. "After each book, I felt like I knew less. For an academic, that's a pretty frustrating feeling."]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MIT economist Andrew Lo had published a paper (<a title="Reading about the financial crisis: a 21-book review (PDF)" href="http://www.argentumlux.org/documents/JEL_6.pdf" target="_blank">41-page PDF available here</a>) where he reviews twenty one (yes, 21) books about the global financial crisis. In search of common explanations and themes, he found confusion instead. <em><a name="more"></a>&#8220;After each book, I felt like I knew less,&#8221;</em> Mr. Lo <a title="What an economist learned from 21 books about the crisis - NPR.org" href="http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2012/01/23/145661552/what-an-economist-learned-from-reading-21-books-about-the-crisis" target="_blank">told the NPR reporter whose article</a> was highlighted by Tuesday&#8217;s Dealbook email. <em>&#8220;For an academic, that&#8217;s a pretty frustrating feeling.&#8221;</em> In his introduction to the paper, Mr. Lo highlights <a title="Rashomon (1950) - IMDB.com" href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0042876/" target="_blank">Akira Kurosawa&#8217;s <em>Rashomon</em></a>, a movie classic where two crimes are explained by four different people and no single vision can be ultimately extracted from their accounts. He calls this &#8220;multiple truths&#8221; and the implications of this to actually learning something useful from the crisis are very interesting.</p>
<p>There is, of course, always the choice of simplifying the matter and assume that risk <em>&#8220;comes from not knowing what you&#8217;re doing&#8221;</em>. If more people had followed this simple idea &#8211; from homeowners to Central Bankers &#8211; then past, present and future impacts from the crisis might have been less severe.</p>
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		<title>The rocket science of merger integrations</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/06/the-rocket-science-of-merger-integrations/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/06/the-rocket-science-of-merger-integrations/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Feb 2012 17:32:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Capital goods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Industries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital_allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[corporatestrategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[m&a]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[management]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2771</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Great article at BusinessWeek highlights the immense difficulties of integrating large acquisitions or mergers - in this case, United and Continental Airlines. The link to rocket science is in the article's last line, and it's hilarious.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great article at BusinessWeek highlights <a title="Making the world's largest airline fly - BusinessWeek" href="http://www.businessweek.com/printer/magazine/united-continental-making-the-worlds-largest-airline-fly-02022012.html" target="_blank">the immense difficulties of integrating large acquisitions or mergers</a>. Even though the article comes out almost optimistic about the integration of United and Continental Airlines, it&#8217;s clear that the challenge is one of gargantuan proportion. The link to rocket science is in the article&#8217;s last line, and it&#8217;s hilarious.</p>
<p>We recently ran a series on capital allocation, and the post called <a title="M&amp;A fallacies - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/12/05/ma-fallacies/" target="_blank">&#8220;M&amp;A fallacies&#8221;</a> relates to this issue.</p>
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		<title>Quick video, tough subject</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/03/quick-video-tough-subject/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/03/quick-video-tough-subject/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 16:25:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2769</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Seth Godin's appearance in this talk show is constrained by the format: a talk show requires "controversial sound bites" and leaves little room for deep analysis of a given issue. That's up to us, and the ideas he repeats here - "get ready for a 'forever recession' by reinventing yourself", "learn by doing", "go ahead and do it", "take risks" - are worth considering during the weekend.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seth Godin&#8217;s <a title="How to win in the 'forever recession' - Pragmatic Capitalism" href="http://pragcap.com/seth-godin-how-to-win-in-the-forever-recession" target="_blank">appearance in this talk show</a> (video embedded inside) is constrained by the format: a talk show requires &#8220;controversial sound bites&#8221; and leaves little room for deep analysis of a given issue. That&#8217;s up to us, and the ideas he repeats here &#8211; &#8220;get ready for a &#8216;forever recession&#8217; by reinventing yourself&#8221;, &#8220;learn by doing&#8221;, &#8220;go ahead and do it&#8221;, &#8220;take risks&#8221; &#8211; are worth considering during the weekend.<span id="more-2769"></span></p>
<p>The video:</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="560" height="315" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/JJj_WHCdLtQ?version=3&amp;hl=en_US" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/JJj_WHCdLtQ?version=3&amp;hl=en_US" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>The wired doctor</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/02/the-wired-doctor/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/02/02/the-wired-doctor/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Feb 2012 13:14:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Healthcare]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Athenahealth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment_theme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trends]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2765</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Interesting, short interview with Athenahealth CEO Jonathan Bush. A reminder of the sometimes almost insurmountable barriers of inefficient habits and practices in some sectors. The potential for IT-based revolutions in healthcare is huge, however the questions of "when" and "how" are still hard to answer. Yet keeping track of the "cost control/ accountability" trend in HC is vital.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting, short <a title="Wiring up doctors - Fortune.com" href="http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2012/01/17/athenahealth-jonathan-bush/" target="_blank">interview with Athenahealth CEO Jonathan Bush</a> in a recent Fortune issue. Very interesting reminder of the sometimes almost insurmountable barriers of inefficient habits and practices in some sectors &#8211; <a title="The Checklist Manifesto - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/01/06/the-checklist-manifesto/" target="_blank">&#8220;old habits die hard&#8221; indeed</a>. The potential for IT-based revolutions in healthcare is huge, however the questions of &#8220;when&#8221; and &#8220;how&#8221; are, as per this example, still hard to answer. Picking winners in such uncertain realms is not within most investors&#8217; circles of competence, yet keeping track of the &#8220;cost control/ accountability&#8221; trend in HC is vital.</p>
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		<title>China&#8217;s future prosperity</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/31/chinas-future-prosperity/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/31/chinas-future-prosperity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2012 18:08:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Food for thought]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2763</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Very interesting Economist article on the roots of China's success - and why China must change to achieve future prosperity. However, the "China Unbalanced" debate is far from over, and countless arguments have been laid out for each side of the debate. Why does it matter to us? Surely, as Brazilians, because of the undeniable impact of China in our economy. But more importantly, as global citizens and asset managers, because of the uncertainty that comes from such a wide range of possible outcomes.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very interesting <a title="China: the paradox of prosperity - FT.com" href="http://www.economist.com/node/21543537" target="_blank">Economist.com article on the roots of China&#8217;s success</a> &#8211; and why China must change to achieve future prosperity. There is an interesting Case Study by Harvard Business School professor Diego Comin called <a title="China Unbalanced - HBS case" href="http://hbr.org/product/china-unbalanced/an/711010-PDF-ENG" target="_blank">&#8220;China &#8216;Unbalanced&#8217;&#8221; (updated very recently)</a>, which forms a very interesting base for discussing these issues. That said, <a title="The myth of China's unbalanced growth - FT.com" href="http://blogs.ft.com/the-a-list/2011/06/14/the-myth-of-chinas-unbalanced-growth/#" target="_blank">the &#8220;China Unbalanced&#8221; debate is far from over</a>, and countless arguments have been laid out for each side of the debate. Why does it matter to us? Surely, as Brazilians, because of the undeniable impact of China in our economy. But more importantly, as global citizens and asset managers, because of the uncertainty that comes from such a wide range of possible outcomes.</p>
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		<title>More on counterparty risk</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/29/more-on-counterparty-risk/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/29/more-on-counterparty-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Jan 2012 21:24:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[MF_Global]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[riskmanagement]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2761</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We're still digesting the MF Global collapse, and we're guessing it will be the case study for the intersection of risk management and culture/ incentive systems - not that it could ever be separated, but this was the case that really drove it home because of the inconceivable use of client funds... We highlight several articles on counterparty risk, fraud and MF Global inside.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We&#8217;re <a title="MF Global's many lessons - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/12/21/mf-globals-many-lessons/" target="_blank">still digesting</a> the MF Global collapse, and we&#8217;re guessing it will be <span style="text-decoration: underline;">the</span> case study for the <a title="&quot;He was from Goldman Sachs&quot; - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/11/03/he-was-from-goldman-sachs/" target="_blank">intersection of risk management and culture/ incentive systems</a> &#8211; not that it could ever be separated, but this was the case that really drove it home because of the inconceivable use of client funds&#8230; We highlight several articles on counterparty risk, fraud and MF Global inside.<br />
<span id="more-2761"></span></p>
<p>Article: <a title="US custodian banks hit by shift into cash - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/140b9e70-41da-11e1-a586-00144feab49a.html#axzz1kcIlVcsS" target="_blank">US custodian banks hit by shift into cash</a></p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“Low interest rates have put tremendous pressure on custodian banks that manage funds for large institutions and retail brokerages, with the Federal Reserve’s commitment to near-zero rates through 2013 make it difficult to invest customer funds in safe investments that generate return.”</em></p>
<p>Article: <a title="Dismay of MF Global clients should spur change - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d2b2ea8e-410a-11e1-8c33-00144feab49a.html#axzz1kcIlVcsS" target="_blank">Dismay of MF Global clients should spur change</a></p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“After Lehman collapsed, the UK government set up a new bankruptcy regime for brokers which was intended to &#8216;ensure the return of client assets as soon as practicable&#8217;. (&#8230;) Almost three months later, clients of MF Global’s London arm are still waiting for their money. (…) MF Global’s US trustee has distributed 72% of what is owed to commodities clients.”</em></p>
<p>Article: <a title="Warning on returns from MF Global UK - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/db542b76-4047-11e1-82f6-00144feab49a.html#axzz1kcIlVcsS" target="_blank">Warning on returns from MF Global UK</a></p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“[KPMG, MFG's administrator has warned] that customers might not get all their money back. Many clients did not realise their accounts were non-segregated until MF Global collapsed, according to Anant Shah, a fund manager at Whitepearls, a Mauritius-based family investment vehicle which claims to be trying to retrieve $35m in segregated accounts. He said the resolution in the UK was &#8216;disgracefully slow, given that real lives are being affected . . . it leads us as well as others to consider never opening another account with a UK broker&#8217;. Unlike counterparts around the world, such as the US and Canada, the UK has yet to return any assets to clients”</em></p>
<p>Article: <a title="KPMG defends efforts on MF Global - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b6cde9d0-411a-11e1-b521-00144feab49a.html#axzz1kcIlVcsS" target="_blank">KPMG defends efforts on MF Global claims</a></p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“The biggest issue for KPMG (&#8230;) is determining which clients have money in MF Global UK’s segregated funds. Those with non-segregated funds have been put into the unsecured creditors’ pool and (…) the issue was complicated by many customers looking to switch the status of their accounts in the final few days. (…) Under the new rules client monies are being used to pay for secured creditors.”</em></p>
<p>Book: “<a title="Lords of Finance at Amazon.com" href="http://www.amazon.com/Lords-Finance-Bankers-Broke-World/dp/159420182X" target="_blank">Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World</a>”</p>
<p>Excerpt [context: the partial collapse of the US banking system between 1931-33]: <em>“the mounting bank failures intensified hoarding &#8211; $500 million dollars</em> [approx. $100 bn today] <em>in cash was pulled from banks. While most of this was stashed away in traditional hiding places – socks, desks, safes, strongboxes under the bed, deposit vaults – some found its way to very unconventional spots, including, according to congressional report, &#8216;holes in the ground, privies, linings of coats, horse collars, coal piles, hollow trees&#8217;. Anywhere but bank accounts.”</em></p>
<p><strong>While some will try pushing from one side&#8230;</strong></p>
<p>Article: <a title="Shake-up in US fixed-income research rules - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1a10ffac-41fa-11e1-9506-00144feab49a.html#axzz1kLMsGnpw" target="_blank">Shake-up in US fixed income research rules</a> (“new rules to deal with conflict of interest in fixed income research are set to be proposed by US financial industry regulators”)</p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“A recent report highlighted potential loopholes to equity rules (…). The rules did not prohibit bankers and analysts from talking outside the firm.”<br />
</em>→ does anyone really take it seriously that one could legislate this risk away? Sometimes an image is worth a 1,000 words, but common sense is worth 10^12 pages.</p>
<p><strong>… others show for the umpteenth time that laws exist to be reinterpreted (bent? broken?) as the occasion presents itself&#8230;</strong></p>
<p>Article: <a title="The case for Basel III - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/32be8274-45cc-11e1-93f1-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1kcIlVcsS" target="_blank">Basel III &#8211; the case for the defence</a></p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“In Europe, Paris and Berlin are again proving that they see no contradiction between railing against financiers while at the same time undermining hard-won global agreements on tighter regulation.”<br />
</em><br />
<strong>… even because it is incredibly hard to comply with all the laws and regulations of all the countries (states? cities?) one operates in and still find time to actually get some work done.</strong></p>
<p>Article: <a title="New rules are struggle for industry and regulators - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d3dee742-428f-11e1-93ea-00144feab49a.html#axzz1kcIlVcsS" target="_blank">New rules are struggle for industry and regulators</a></p>
<p>Excerpt: <em>“It is unclear whether a non-EU bank would have to set up a branch in the EU if it wanted to become a member of a clearing house based in the region. There is also confusion over how financial institutions operating globally would comply with Dodd-Frank, Emir, Mifid and legislation in Asia.”<br />
</em></p>
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		<title>Citi&#8217;s CEO on risk management</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/18/citis-ceo-on-risk-management/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/18/citis-ceo-on-risk-management/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Jan 2012 13:25:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2752</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It would be easy to dismiss anything coming from Citigroup, not exactly the bastion of sound risk management practices. And it does appear like Vikram Pandit's main suggestion here is, at first glance, simplistic yet hard to implement. Anyway, moves in the right direction are welcome, but on risk management issues, we tend to defer to Taleb (new talk inside).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It would be easy to dismiss anything coming from Citigroup, not exactly the bastion of sound risk management practices. And it does appear like <a title="Apples to apples: a new way to measure risk - at Buysiders.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/90bb724a-3afc-11e1-b7ba-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">Vikram Pandit&#8217;s main suggestion here</a> is, at first glance, simplistic yet hard to implement. That said, this is a time where everyone&#8217;s agenda is being tested &#8211; the intention here is clearly to try to insert a &#8220;market&#8221; measure, not necessarily this one, on top of government-imposed ones. Anyway, moves in the right direction are welcome: <em>&#8220;We  could go a long way to regaining that trust by making the system more  transparent, by clearing some of the obscurity that causes people to  believe the system is a game rigged against their interests.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>However, on risk management issues, we tend to defer to Taleb (new talk posted inside &#8211; <a title="The predictability of unpredictability - Farnam St." href="http://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2012/01/nassim-taleb-the-predictability-of-unpredictability/" target="_blank">H/T Farnam St. Blog</a>). Also inside are links to other recent posts on risk management culture.<span id="more-2752"></span></p>
<p>The Taleb video:</p>
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<p><strong>Great bit from the video above:</strong> <em>&#8220;People have this problem with risk management: they think it&#8217;s two separable items. You have this growth, and then you have the risk. They don&#8217;t understand that first, to get rich, you have to survive. People don&#8217;t understand this logical precedence of one over the other.&#8221;</em></p>
<p><strong>Other recent Buysiders.com posts on Risk:</strong></p>
<p><a title="Risk management culture - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/04/risk-management-culture/" target="_blank">Risk management culture</a> &#8211; Jan. 4th, 2012</p>
<p><a title="&quot;He was from Goldman Sachs&quot; - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/11/03/he-was-from-goldman-sachs/" target="_blank">&#8220;He was from Goldman Sachs&#8221;</a> &#8211; Nov. 3rd, 2011</p>
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		<title>Isaac Asimov and libraries</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/16/isaac-asimov-and-libraries/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/16/isaac-asimov-and-libraries/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jan 2012 05:22:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2750</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today's post is just an image, a scan of an Isaac Asimov 1971 short note to kids apparently getting a new library somewhere. It's brilliant. We complement it with our post citing "anti-libraries".]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today&#8217;s post is just an image, a scan of an Isaac Asimov 1971 short note to kids apparently getting a new library somewhere. It&#8217;s brilliant. We complement it with our post citing &#8220;<a title="Great books and anti-libraries - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/06/28/great-books-and-anti-libraries/" target="_blank">anti-libraries</a>&#8220;.</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 530px"><a href="https://twitter.com/#!/LettersOfNote/status/153838829055381505/photo/1/large"><img title="Asimov and libraries" src="https://p.twimg.com/AiKLmZbCEAERj4Q.jpg:large" alt="" width="520" height="302" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Asimov and libraries</p></div>
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		<title>Banker compensation and the crisis</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/11/banker-compensation-and-the-crisis/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/11/banker-compensation-and-the-crisis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jan 2012 11:08:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2747</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Researchers have not been able to find a link between banker compensation and short-term performance metrics. In their words, their finding "refutes the suggestion that incentive structures in banks could be blamed for the crisis". As we were reading the study's description, we were alarmed that the professor equated "short-term performance" with the short-term movements in share prices, which is not usually how compensation is set in banks. Then we found a post by the Epicurean Dealmaker that destroys the study precisely on these arguments.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Researchers <a title="Bankers' bonuses and the financial crisis - VoxEU.org" href="http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/7501" target="_blank">have not been able to find a link</a> between banker compensation and short-term performance metrics, the sort of link that might have led to excessive risk-taking. In their words, their finding <em>&#8220;refutes the suggestion that incentive structures in banks could be blamed for the crisis&#8221;</em>. As we were reading the study&#8217;s description, we were alarmed that the professor equated &#8220;short-term performance&#8221; with the short-term movements in share prices, which is not necessarily how compensation is set in banks.</p>
<p>Then we found <a title="The root of some evil - Epicurean Dealmaker" href="http://epicureandealmaker.blogspot.com/2012/01/root-of-some-evil.html" target="_blank">a post by the Epicurean Dealmaker</a> that destroys the study precisely on these arguments. As he says after presenting his points, <em>&#8220;Perhaps one day some academic will actually make the effort to understand how my industry works before they design a study to explain it&#8221;</em>. And as he says, we also yearn for a good study into the subject.</p>
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		<title>Smooth returns?</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/09/smooth-returns/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2012/01/09/smooth-returns/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jan 2012 19:30:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diversified financials]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2744</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just as in our September 2011 post called "How to spot a fraud", a Wall Street Journal piece tells another story about returns that look too good to be true - but in this case, "too good" means "low volatility". The point here is the ages-old trap of equating "risk" with "volatility" and assuming that a low-volatility fund is less risky. Even ignoring the possibility of fraud, it's a bad move.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It never ceases to amaze us that people still fall into the same traps. Just as in our September 2011 post &#8220;<a title="How to spot a fraud - at Buysiders.com" href="http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/09/28/how-to-spot-a-fraud/" target="_blank">How to spot a fraud</a>&#8220;, this Wall Street Journal piece is another story about returns that look too good to be true &#8211; but <a title="A margin for error in hedge-fund filings - WSJ.com" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203899504577128941789692300.html" target="_blank">in this case, &#8220;too good&#8221; means &#8220;low volatility&#8221;</a>. The point here then isn&#8217;t the one of chasing the &#8220;hot funds&#8221; with the best returns, it is the ages-old trap of equating &#8220;risk&#8221; with &#8220;volatility&#8221; and assuming that a low-volatility fund is less risky. Even ignoring the possibility of fraud, it&#8217;s a bad move.</p>
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