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	<title>Buysiders.com &#187; GOOG</title>
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	<description>Investidor Profissional (IP)&#039;s blog: value investing across disciplines and around the globe</description>
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		<title>MySpace sold for $35&#8230; million</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/06/30/myspace-sold-for-35-million/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/06/30/myspace-sold-for-35-million/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Jun 2011 14:56:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/?p=2288</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[MySpace killed Friendster only to be gobbled up by Facebook. Six years after NewsCorp bought MySpace for US$ 580 million it's now sold for US$ 35 million. Google just launched its own "Facebook-killer" yesterday. There is absolutely no evidence yet whether Google Plus or any other competitor or substitute will bother Facebook. There is even less evidence about what's "in the prices" - what prices? what metrics? what predictability of future cash flows? - so Social Media buyer beware.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MySpace killed Friendster only to be gobbled up by Facebook. Six years after NewsCorp bought MySpace for US$ 580 million <a title="MySpace sold for $35 million - AllThingsD" href="http://allthingsd.com/20110629/exclusive-myspace-to-be-sold-to-specific-media-at-35-million/" target="_blank">it&#8217;s now sold for US$ 35 million</a> for a group of investors reportedly containing Justin Timberlake (inspired by his role as Sean Parker in The S0cial Network, perhaps?).</p>
<p>Google <a title="Google takes on Facebook - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/fdcb2aae-a1bb-11e0-b9f9-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">just launched its own &#8220;Facebook-killer&#8221; yesterday</a>. There is absolutely no evidence yet whether Google Plus or any other competitor or substitute will bother Facebook. There is even less evidence about what&#8217;s &#8220;in the prices&#8221; &#8211; what prices? what metrics? what predictability of future cash flows? &#8211; so Social Media buyer beware. More links inside.<span id="more-2288"></span><a title="MySpace sold for $35 million - Guardian" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2011/jun/30/myspace-sold-35-million-news" target="_blank">MySpace&#8217;s demise</a> &#8211; Guardian UK &#8211; It mentions a &#8220;heyday&#8221; valuation of $12 billion, now sold for $35 million.</p>
<p><a title="Rest in peace MySpace - IBTimes" href="http://sanfrancisco.ibtimes.com/articles/172011/20110630/rip-myspace-long-live-facebook-myspace-sold-for-35-mln-to-specific-media.htm" target="_blank">Rest in peace MySpace</a> &#8211; IBTimes &#8211; Looks at traffic data comparisons.</p>
<p><a title="MySpace offers tough lessons - BBC News.com" href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-13972392" target="_blank">MySpace offers tough lessons</a> &#8211; BBC News.</p>
<p><a title="Alphaville takes a swipe at MySpace - FT.com" href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/06/29/609011/myspace-sold/" target="_blank">MySpace sold</a> &#8211; FT.com&#8217;s Alphaville blog takes a swipe by showing a bullish 2006 story versus the 2011 AllThingsD story we linked to above.</p>
<p><a title="MySpace sold on the cheap? - BW" href="http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/oct2006/tc20061005_397237.htm" target="_blank">MySpace sold on the cheap?</a> &#8211; BusinessWeek &#8211; Buysiders.com is all about finding opposing sides of the arguments. However, this is an October 2006 article! It&#8217;s about some of the MySpace shareholders who sold to News Corp. supposedly mad about the deal. One M&amp;A &#8220;expert&#8221; even calls it &#8220;the best acquisition ever&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<p><a title="Google's latest crack at social media - FT.com" href="http://video.ft.com/v/1029968827001/Google-s-latest-crack-at-social-media" target="_blank">Google&#8217;s latest crack at social media</a> &#8211; an FT.com short video showing Google +</p>
<p><a title="Google throws full weight at Facebook - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/4a9cf0b2-a1e2-11e0-b485-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">Google throws full weight at Facebook</a> &#8211; FT.com &#8211; is it really its full weight this time? Given how similar it is to Facebook, we&#8217;d judge yes. But how are managerial strategy, talent, focus and incentive systems aligned with this project? Facebook simply has no choice, Google does. Kind of.</p>
<p><a title="Google + demo" href="http://www.google.com/+/demo/" target="_blank">Google + Demo</a> and <a title="Google + &quot;learn more&quot; page" href="http://www.google.com/+/learnmore/" target="_blank">Google + &#8220;Learn More&#8221;</a> pages.</p>
<p><a title="Another try by Google to take on Facebook - NYT.com" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/29/technology/29google.html" target="_blank">Another try by Google</a> &#8211; NY Times.com</p>
<p><a title="Google hopes Spark ignites its social network - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/fa947dbe-a273-11e0-9760-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">Google hopes Spark ignites its social network</a> &#8211; FT.com</p>
<p><a title="Is there after web-death? FT/LEX" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/3/c3208928-90e3-11e0-acfd-00144feab49a.html" target="_blank">Is there life after web-death?</a> &#8211; FT.com&#8217;s LEX column on MySpace &#8211; the concept of &#8220;barriers to re-entry&#8221; is powerful.</p>
<p><a title="Why Facebook beat MySpace - Forbes.com" href="http://blogs.forbes.com/chunkamui/2011/01/12/why-facebook-beat-myspace-and-why-myspaces-revised-strategy-will-probably-fail" target="_blank">Why Facebook beat MySpace</a> &#8211; From a Forbes.com blog, it&#8217;s certainly not the first nor the last in the hundreds of similarly-themed analysis, but it&#8217;s worth the read.</p>
<p><a title="Video interview: Richard Roseblatt - BNET.com" href="http://www.bnet.com/videos/richard-rosenblatt-how-i-sold-myspace/164950" target="_blank">Video interview with Richard Rosenblatt</a>, who founded iMall.com and sold it for US$ 560 million, then sold MySpace for US$ 580 million and has founded and IPO&#8217;d Demand Media. Given his timing so far, we&#8217;d listen closely! His description of the sale of MySpace to News Corp brought tears to our inner salesmen.</p>
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		<title>The future of TV</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/02/21/the-future-of-tv/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/02/21/the-future-of-tv/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Feb 2011 21:52:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.buysiders.com/?p=1828</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While this is just part of the overall digital/ online content evolution, our subject today is TV. One story is a behind-the-scenes account of how Google TV came to be - and what's at stake if and when they get it right (or when somebody else does it). The other story shows the experiments that "old-media" TV companies are running to benefit from - or to try not to get overrun by - the effects of social media as it regards TV watching. There's a lot happening, and business models just aren't defined yet. As we've said in our Q4 2010 report, "Experimenting has a cost. Failing to experiment, ditto."]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While this is just part of the overall digital/ online content evolution, our subject today is TV. The latest edition of the MIT Technology Review has a story called &#8220;<a title="Searching for the future of TV - MIT Tech Review" href="http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?id=26930&amp;ch=computing&amp;a=f" target="_blank">Searching for the future of television</a>&#8220;, a behind-the-scenes account of how Google TV came to be &#8211; and what&#8217;s at stake if and when they get it right (or when somebody else does it). Coincidentally, we read a Sunday article in the NY Times called &#8220;<a title="TV industry experiments with social media - NYT" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/21/business/media/21watercooler.html" target="_blank">TV industry taps social media to keep viewers&#8217; attention</a>&#8221; that shows the experiments that &#8220;old-media&#8221; TV companies are running to benefit from &#8211; or to try not to get overrun by &#8211; the effects of social media as it regards TV watching. There&#8217;s a lot happening, and business models just aren&#8217;t defined yet. As we&#8217;ve said in our Q4 2010 report, <em>&#8220;Experimenting has a cost. Failing to experiment, ditto.&#8221;</em></p>
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		<title>Remaking Youtube</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/01/31/remaking-youtube/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2011/01/31/remaking-youtube/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Jan 2011 19:20:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.buysiders.com/?p=1727</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[FastCompany.com has an article in its February '11 issue about Youtube. Sure, it's an interesting read for those interested in Youtube and Google, or in media, advertising and online services in general. But there were other good takeaways or at least building blocks that we list in the post.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FastCompany.com has an article in its February &#8217;11 issue <a title="Youtube's global platform redefining entertainment business - FastCompany.com" href="http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/152/blown-away.html" target="_blank">about Youtube</a>. Sure, it&#8217;s an interesting read for those interested in Youtube and Google, or in media, advertising and online services in general. But there were other good takeaways or at least building blocks that we list below.</p>
<p><span id="more-1727"></span></p>
<p>Other interesting &#8220;frameworks&#8221; to have in mind when reading this article are understanding evolving business models, corporate &#8220;shake-ups&#8221;, fresh perspectives, and the idea of trying to maintain a &#8220;start-up&#8221; culture even in a internet company that, although far from established, could be considered &#8220;yesterday&#8217;s news&#8221;.</p>
<p>There was another point of interest for us: problem-solving and recruiting. At some point Salar Kamangar, Youtube&#8217;s new CEO, says of himself: <em>&#8220;I enjoy problem solving,&#8221;</em> (&#8230;)<em> &#8220;If you have a seed of an idea, how do you operationalize that, how do you scale it, how do you bring together the best team to see it through?&#8221; </em></p>
<p>And a bit later the text describes one of Youtube&#8217;s new initiatives &#8211; <em>&#8220;trying to replicate for video the predictive experience that Pandora creates for music&#8221;</em> &#8211; and Youtube&#8217;s head of product says that <em>&#8220;solving this is going to be about user experience and front-end design as much as it is about algorithm, infrastructure, and servers&#8221;.</em></p>
<p>First, the bit about the problems of enhancing user experience and recommendations made us think of the <a title="Netflix's smart crowdsourcing initiative at Buysiders.com" href="http://www.buysiders.com/2009/09/22/netflixs-smart-crowdsourcing-initiative/" target="_blank">Netflix Challenge</a>. By now there are recommendation algorithms and consultants (see <a title="Recommendation software in Brazil - Buysiders.com" href="http://www.buysiders.com/2010/12/10/recommendation-software-in-brazil/" target="_blank">a case in point here</a>), but Youtube&#8217;s challenge seems deeper.</p>
<p>But add the last two paragraphs and you get an interesting idea: if a company likes problem-solvers and would like to hire more of them &#8211; or keep them &#8220;hungry&#8221; for longer periods of time &#8211; couldn&#8217;t such a company frame its job opportunities this way? Perhaps structuring and then &#8220;selling&#8221; themselves as a place with many projects/ &#8220;problems&#8221; rather than trying to fill a given position?</p>
<p>In fact, we can choose to view our own business (asset management) in the &#8220;problem-solving&#8221; light and say that it should attract people in search of an idea (an investment hypothesis) and how to operationalize it, scale it (research it thoroughly and then execute it in the best way, in a timely manner and respecting liquidity requirements) and bring the best team (internal and external!) to see it through. Actually, perhaps in our business the team part comes sooner. That said, no analogy is perfect and it can vary with time and circumstances.</p>
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		<title>The value of networks</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2010/10/22/the-value-of-networks/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2010/10/22/the-value-of-networks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Oct 2010 16:56:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.buysiders.com/?p=1349</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As reflected in Buysiders posts since we started it, we've been increasingly interested in and puzzled by networks. There has been a number of talks, books and studies on how to take advantage of social networks - and certainly not just those of the online world. But many behaviors are non-linear, counter-intuitive and therefore extremely hard (perhaps impossible) to model, which has the potential consequence of generating tons of opportunities.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As reflected in Buysiders posts since we started it, we&#8217;ve been increasingly interested in and puzzled by networks. There has been a number of talks, books and studies on how to take advantage of social networks &#8211; and certainly not just those of the online world. But many behaviors are non-linear, counter-intuitive and therefore extremely hard (perhaps impossible) to model, which has the potential consequence of generating tons of opportunities. <a title="Our modern, connected lives - TED blog" href="http://blog.ted.com/2010/05/10/qa_wih_nicholas/" target="_blank">This short Q&amp;A with Nicholas Christakis</a>, author of one the most famous books on the subject, is not the best possible source but highlights the key issues in an easy way. For more, his <a title="The hidden influence of social networks - TED" href="http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/nicholas_christakis_the_hidden_influence_of_social_networks.html" target="_blank">May 2010</a> and <a title="How social networks predict epidemics - TED blog" href="http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/nicholas_christakis_how_social_networks_predict_epidemics.html" target="_blank">June 2010 TED talks</a> are very interesting.<span id="more-1349"></span></p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Two related links:</strong></span></p>
<p><a title="Untangling the social web - Economist" href="http://www.economist.com/node/16910031" target="_blank">Untangling the social web</a> &#8211; Economist, October 2010: <em>&#8220;From retailing to counterterrorism, the ability to analyse social connections is proving increasingly useful&#8221;</em> &#8212; The applications are mind-boggling, from the very simple &#8211; social-media enriched search results &#8211; to those we can&#8217;t really envision yet.</p>
<p><a title="Google &quot;searching&quot; for inflation data - FT" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/deeb985e-d55f-11df-8e86-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">Google to map inflation using web data</a> &#8211; Financial Times, Oct. 12th 2010. Always interesting to see what GOOG can do with those huge amounts of  automatically amassed but individually inputted (collectively served)  real-time chunks of data. It&#8217;s a huge potential asset waiting to be  turned on. In this specific <span>inflation</span> case, it would be interesting to think about the possible consequences  of something like a real-time price index &#8216;catching&#8217; with the masses&#8230;</p>
<p><em><strong>The Nicholas Christakis videos:</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>May 2010</strong></p>
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<p><strong>July 2010:</strong></p>
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		<title>Musings on Google</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2010/09/13/musings-on-google/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2010/09/13/musings-on-google/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Sep 2010 15:00:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.buysiders.com/?p=1248</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Three articles over a one-month period regarding Google. First, there was a "pessimistic" piece at Fortune magazine on July 29th with a decent, superficial review of the current state of e-marketing. Then the WSJ interviewed Eric Schmidt on August 14th, getting a highly controversial (and probably misunderstood) quote. Given the level of scrutiny GOOG faces, it's clear that he needs a PR person next to him ASAP. Anyway, the CEO piece motivated an NYT op-ed by William Gibson on August 31st with a great summary of what Google is or could become.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Three articles over a one-month period regarding Google. First, there was <a title="The search party is over - Fortune" href="http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2010/07/29/google-the-search-party-is-over/" target="_blank">a &#8220;pessimistic&#8221; piece at Fortune magazine</a> on July 29th with a decent, superficial review of the current state of e-marketing. Then the <a title="Google and the future of search - WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704901104575423294099527212.html" target="_blank">WSJ interviewed Eric Schmidt on August 14th</a>, getting this controversial quote: <em>&#8220;I actually think most people don&#8217;t want Google to answer their  questions,&#8221; (Mr. Schmidt) elaborates. &#8220;They want Google to tell them what they  should be doing next.&#8221;</em> Quite Orwellian, although he was probably thinking about actionable search results &#8211; stuff like a &#8220;BUY&#8221; button next to the cheapest air  ticket when searching &#8220;cheap NY-Washington flights&#8221;. Given the level of scrutiny GOOG faces, it&#8217;s clear that he needs a PR person next to him ASAP. Anyway, the CEO piece motivated <a title="Google's Earth by William Gibson - NYT" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/01/opinion/01gibson.html" target="_blank">an NYT op-ed by William Gibson on August 31st</a> with a great summary of what Google is or could become (inside).<span id="more-1248"></span></p>
<p>From William &#8220;<a title="Neuromancer at Amazon.com" href="http://www.amazon.com/Neuromancer-William-Gibson/dp/0441012035/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1284403524&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">Neuromancer</a>&#8221; Gibson:</p>
<p><em>&#8220;We never imagined that artificial intelligence would be like this. We imagined discrete entities. Genies. We also seldom imagined (in spite of ample evidence) that emergent technologies would leave legislation in the dust, yet they do. In a world characterized by technologically driven change, we necessarily legislate after the fact, perpetually scrambling to catch up, while the core architectures of the future, increasingly, are erected by entities like Google.</em></p>
<p><em>Cyberspace, not so long ago, was a specific elsewhere, one we visited periodically, peering into it from the familiar physical world. Now cyberspace has everted. Turned itself inside out. Colonized the physical. Making Google a central and evolving structural unit not only of the architecture of cyberspace, but of the world.&#8221;</em></p>
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		<title>Google&#8217;s optional mistep</title>
		<link>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2009/09/24/googles-mistep/</link>
		<comments>http://blog-en.investidorprofissional.com.br/2009/09/24/googles-mistep/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2009 20:58:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>IP</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.invprof.com.br/?p=173</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal has a nice piece today on Google&#8217;s option repricing bonanza now that the stock is back to the US$ 500&#8242;s. Not a second too soon, not a bit exaggerated.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Wall Street Journal has a <a title="WSJ blasts GOOG option repricing" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125381978756438557.html?mod=googlenews_wsj" target="_blank">nice piece</a> today on Google&#8217;s option repricing bonanza now that the stock is back to the US$ 500&#8242;s. Not a second too soon, not a bit exaggerated.</p>
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